UK CPI inflation forecast 2026

Share of crude oil imports in Brazil 2024, by country of origin In 2024, the crude oil production in the UK amounted to 653,000 barrels per day. This figure also includes crude oil volumes meant for transshipment or in transit to other destinations, like Belgium and Germany. As an exporter, the UK sold more crude oil to the Netherlands than any other country. In 2024, crude oil and NGL imports in the UK totaled around 41.9 million metric tons.

UK government finances

Main reasons people are voting for the Labour party in the 2024 UK election Although it was ultimately not enough to save Sunak, re-establishing themselves as the best party for handling the economy would give the Conservatives a much better chance at future general elections. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2024 was 0.6 percent, the fastest the economy had grown since the end of 2021.

Public sector net debt expressed as a percentage of GDP in the United Kingdom from 1900/01 to 2030/31

As of November 2025, the CPI inflation rate stood at 3.2 percent, while the CPIH rate was 3.5 percent. The inflation rate for the Retail Price Index (RPI) in the United Kingdom was 3.6 percent best non GamStop casinos in February 2026, down from 3.8percent in the previous month. CPI inflation rate in the UK 2026, by sector

  • GDP growth in the first quarter of 2024 was 0.6 percent, the fastest the economy had grown since the end of 2021.
  • High inflation is one of the main factors behind the ongoing Cost of Living Crisis in the UK, which, despite subsiding somewhat in 2024, is still impacting households as of late 2025.
  • Along with soaring food costs, high-energy bills have hit UK households hard, especially lower income ones that spend more of their earnings on housing costs.
  • The UK has begun decommissioning many of its North Sea oil platforms and will continue doing so in the coming years.
  • Less than a year after implementing cuts to Winter Fuel, the government performed a U-Turn on the issue, and also held back on more significant cuts to welfare.

Food and energy prices, which were already high, increased further in 2022. The UK’s high inflation and cost of living crisis in 2022 had their origins in the COVID-19 pandemic. The Retail Price Index (RPI) is one of the main measures of inflation used to calculate the change in the price of goods and services within the British economy. While the retail price index is still a popular method of calculating inflation, the consumer price index (CPI) is the current main measurement of inflation in the UK. Although inflation fell in subsequent months, it wasn’t until July 2023 that inflation fell below double digits, and as of late 2024, the RPI rate was still above three percent. This was followed by energy and food inflation skyrocketing after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Economy

Like many countries, the UK has only recently recovered from a period of elevated inflation, which saw the CPI rate reach 9.1 percent in 2022, and 7.3 percent in 2023. The United States is the main supplier of crude oil and natural gas liquids for the United Kingdom. CPI inflation, meanwhile, was 2.3 percent in May 2024, the lowest rate in three years.